wall street in advance

October 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,          Oct 09 IMF's Christine Lagarde 1-on-1 w/author Michael Lewis (@IMF 10am et  D.C.)
Presidential Candidates Clinton & Trump Debate (Washington Univ. St., Louis with CNN's Anderson Cooper & ABC's MArtha Raddatz moderating (9pm et)
23rd World Energy Congress (Istanbul w/Turk Pres Erdogan opening thru 13th)
German Chancellor Merkel starts 3-day trip to Africa (curbing refugees)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         China Sept Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans, M2
         New Zealand Sept REINZ House Sales
         Aussie Sept FX Reserves
         Nobel Prize for Economic Sciences Announced (5:45am et Stockholm)
         Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate
         German Aug. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Cuurent Account
         Italian Aug Industrial Production
         Eurozone Oct Sentix Investor Confidence
         U.K. 10-year Treasury Gilt Auction
Monday,       Oct. 10 US Columbus Day; Treasuries & Banks Closed
US Equity Markets Trade Regular Hours
Argentine FinMin Prat-Gay speaks @Columbia Univ. hosted by the Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum (9:30am et)
US Sept. Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI)
TD Ameritrade IMX
India Aug Industrial Production/Manufacturing Output
Canada Thanksgiving Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Sept Electronic Card Spending
          UK BRC Sept Like-for-Like Sales
          Japan Aug Current Account & Trade Balance 
          Chinese Premier Li Keqiang & Portugal PM Costa @Trade Forum on Portuguese-speaking countries (Macau thru 11th)
          Aussie NAB Sept Business Conditions/Confidence, Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All (Aug) Loans
          Fed's Evans speaks @Australian Business Economists (Sydney 10pm et)
          Aussie CBA/HIA Q3 House Affordability
          Swiss R.E. Index Q3 Family Homes
          Japan Sept Bankruptcies & Eco Watchers Survey/Outlook
          German & Eurozone Oct ZEW Survey of Conditions/Sentiment
          China Back from Golden Week Holiday/Closures (Tues. local time)
Tuesday,      Oct. 11 NFIB Sept. Small Business Optimism Index
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month + $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
South Africa Aug. Manufacturing Production
Canada Sept Housing Starts
India Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Japan Aug (F) Machine Orders +Sept (P) Machine Tool Orders + BoJ 30-yr JGB Auction
         Aussie Aug Credit Card Purchases/Balances + Westpac Oct Sentiment
         German Sept WPI
         French Sept CPI & HICP
         SNB (Swiss) Zurbruegg speaks (Zurich) + ZEW Oct Expectations
         Eurozone Aug. Industrial Production         
Wed.           Oct. 12 FOMC Sept 20/21 Meeting Minutes (2pm et)
NY Fed Pres Wm Dudley "fire side chat" with Business Council of NY State (Albany 8am et)
Fed's George (dissenter) speaks on payment systems @Chicago Fed's Annual Payment Symposium + Q&A (9:40am et thru 13th)
EU Commish Oettinger on Digital Economy @Stanford Univ Ctr for Internet & Society (Stanford CA 3:50pm et)
Argentine Pres Macri addresses IDEA (Biz Development) Annual Conference, "Bridges to the Future" (Mar Del Plata, Argentina thru 14th, when Central Bank Pres Sturzenegger will, also, speak)
Canada Sept Housing Starts (Vancouver tax killed sales there)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Aug. US JOLTS (Job Turnover & Quits--10am et)
BoE Bond-Buying Ops Results
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-, & $20B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Russia Aug Trade Balance
Holidays in Brazil & India
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Performance of Mnftg Index, Food Prices, + ANZ Job Ads & Oct.  Consumer Confidence
         South Korea Sept Unemployment Rate & M2 Money Supply
         UK RICS Sept House Price Balance
         Japan Sept Bank Lending + Aug. Tertiary Industry Index
         South Korea MPC Interest Rate Decision
         Aussie Oct Consumer Inflation Expectations
        China Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         German Sept Wholesale Price Index & CPI + HICP
         South Africa Mining Production
         Scottish National Party 3-day party conference (Glasgow thru 15th)
         UK Foreign Sec'y Johnson testifies @Parliament Foreign Affairs Cmte (4:15am et)
         BoE MPC Meets for Rate/QE Decision  (BoE cuts meetings to 8x annually, from 12)
Thursday,   Oct. 13 US weekly Jobless claims
US Sept. Import/Export Prices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et thru 10/07)
Canada Aug. New Housing Price Index, Teranet/Nat'l Bk  Sept HPI
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (11am et--delayd by holiday)
Fed's Harker on economic outlook @World Affairs Council of Philly (12:15pm edt)
India Sept CPI
Peru MPC Meets on Rates
Russia Central Bank FX Reserves
SEC Enforcement dir. Ceresney keynotes SEC Securities Enforcement Forum; former SEC chairs Breeden & Pitt highlight the Chairman's Panel (starts 8am et D.C.)
Sheila Bair & former Citi CEO Pandit speak @The Economist "Finance Disrupted" Conference on Digital Revolution/FinTech
Pres. Obama hosts White House Frontiers Conference, co-hosted by U of Pittsburgh & Carnegie Mellon U. on Future Global Innovation in Science & Tech (Pittsburgh)
US Treasury Auctions $12B reopened 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
Mexican Central Bank Meeting Minutes
US Treasury Budget (2pm et)
Brazil Foreign Exchange Flows
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply (4:30pm et)
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          Japan Sept Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index & PPI + M3
          Singapore Q3 GDP & Aug Retail Sales
          India Sept WPI Food, Fuel & Manufacturing Inflation
          South Korea Sept Import/Export Price Index
          RBA (Aussie) Financial Stability Review
          China Sept CPI + PPI
          Spain & Italy Sept CPI   & HICP
          EU 25 Sept New Car Registrations
          Swiss Sept PPI & Import Prices
          UK Aug. Construction Output
          BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Surveys (4:30 et 10/14 in US)
          Eurozone Aug. Trade Balance
Friday,        Oct. 14 FOMC Chief Yellen lunch keynote @Boston Fed's 60th Economic Conference, "The Elusive Recovery" (Boston 12:30pm et thru 15th)
Fed's Rosengren opens Boston Fed's 60th Economic Conference, "The Elusive Recovery" (8:30am et), also w/ Economist Alan Krueger w/Peter Diamond (2:30pm)
US Sept PPI--Final Demand (8:30am et)
US Sept Retail Sales (8:30am et)
US Aug. Business Inventories
BoE Gov Carney & 5  BoE associates  speak at public events in central England, discussing how central bank could better serve society--roundtables w/biz leaders, teachers, students and public (Birmingham, Derby, Dudley, Leicester & Nottingham) before Birmingham plenary w/audience (9:30am et)
U.M. (Prelim) October Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
German FinMin Schaeuble addresses Young Christian Democrats (1:15pm et @Paderborn DE)
Saturday,   Oct. 15 Olivier Blanchard & N. Gregory Mankiw @Boston Fed Economic Conf. (11am et)
UK Survey of Professional Forecasters
Major League Baseball (MLB) Play-offfs start with American League Playoffs (Nat'l League starts tomorrow)
Sunday,      Oct. 16 ON VACATION --  UPDATED Oct. 18th
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:

       
UK Rightmove Oct House Prices
        Japan Aug. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         Italy Aug Trade balance
         Eurozone Sept CPI
        
   
Monday,     Oct. 17 Empire State NY Fed Oct. Manufacturing Survey
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
US Treasury Auctioned 3-year, & 10-year reopened Notes
Treasury Auctioned 30-year Reopened Bonds
Fed Gov Fischer speaks (outright hawk- noon et)
Canada Aug. Int'l Securities Transactions
Russia Sept Industrial Production
BoE's Broadbent speaks
Bundesbank Pres Weidmann speaks
ECB's Draghi speaks
BoC's Lowe speaks
BoE results of Bond-buying Ops
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         RBA (Aussie) Gov. Low speaks (Sydney) + RBA Meeting Minutes Released
         New Zealand Q3 CPI and Non-Resident Sept Bond Holdings
         Chinese Sept New Loans & Loan Growth
         Aussie Sept New Motor Vehicle Sales
         ECB Bank Lending Survey
         UK Sept CPI & Retail Price Index (RPPI) + PPI & Aug; House Price Index
         Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
         Brazil Aug Retail Sales
Tuesday,    Oct. 18 US Sept CPI
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Canada Aug Manufacturing Shipments
US Aug. TICS
   OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Aussie Sept Skilled Job vacancies
         China Q3 GDP, Sept Retail Sales, Industrial Production + Fixed Assets YTD
         South Korea Sept PPI
         Japan Aug All Industry Activity Index
         South Africa Sept CPI
         UK Sept Jobless Claims/Claims Rate + ILO Aug Unemployment Rate+Aug. Avg Earnings Index + UK Treasury Auctions 10-year Gilts
         Germany Auctions 30-year Bunds
         Eurozone Aug. Construction Output
Wed.,         Oct. 19 Fed's Williams on diversity in financial systems (Newark NJ 8:45am et)
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats  (w/e 10/14)
South Africa Aug Retail Sales
Russia Retail Sales & Sept Unemployment Rate
Fed's Kaplan lunch speech at Ft Worth Chamber of Commerce (Ft Worth TX 1:30pm)
Federal Reserve Beige Book (2pm et)
BoC (Canada) MPC Releases Interest Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report
BoC's Poloz speaks post-meeting
      OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
            NY Fed's Wm Dudley speaks on City Economic History @Lotos club (NYC 7:45pm et)
             Aussie NAB Q3 Business Confidence, Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/ Participation Rate
            RBA (Aussie) Sept FX Transactions
            Japan Nationwide Sept Dept Store Sales
            Swiss Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
            German Sept PPI
            Spain Trade Balance
            Japan Sept (F) Machine Tool Orders + Convenience Store Sales
            Eurozone Aug. Current Account
            UK Sept. Retail Sales
            Hong Kong Sept CPI
            France & Spain Auction Debt
            ECB MPC Interest Rate & QE Decision/Asset Purchase Target
Thursday,  Oct. 20 US Weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey
NY Fed's Dudley welcome to a workshop on culture & behavior in financial Services (NY 8:30am et)
ECB Draghi Post-meeting Press Conference
NY Fed Pres. Dudley moderates a panel discussion w/BoE's Shafik & HK Monetary Authority's Chan (9am et)
US Sept Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (w/e 10/14)
US Treasury Auctions $5B Reopened 30-year TIPS
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Russia Central Bank FX Reserves
EU Leaders Summit
Weekly US Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
NY Fed's Dudley closes workshop on culture & behavior in Financial Services Industry (NY 4:45pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          China Sept Property/House Prices
& MNI Oct. Business Indicator
          New Zealand Sept Credit Card Spending & Migration + Visitors
          Swiss Sept M3 Money Supply
          UK Sept Public Finances
          Bundesbank's Weidmann Speaks 
          Euro Area Q2 Gov't Deficit & Dept:GDP Ratio

Friday,      Oct. 21 Fed Gov. Tarullo speech "Pedagogy & Scholarship in a Post-Crisis World" @Columbia Law School Conference on the "New Pedagogy of Financial Regulation" (NY 10:15am et)
Canada Aug Retail Sales & Sept CPI
India FX Reserves
Eurozone Oct (Adv.) Consumer Confidence
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
Fed's Williams keynotes Federal Home Loan Bank Member Conference (San Francisco CA w/Q&A 2:30pm)
Saturday,  Oct. 22

         WEEKS AHEAD:          10/
27     Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets
                                          11/01--02    FOMC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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