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December 2018 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday,
Dec 16 |
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ECB's Draghi &
Bundesbank's Weidmann speak (Frankfurt)
Chicago Fed's Evans Q&A @ Fixed Income Roundtable (Chicago Fed)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Nov. Dept Store Sales
Singapore Nov non-Oil Exports
Italian Oct Trade Balance
Belgian MPC & ECB member Smets
presents Belgian Economic Forecasts
UK Rightmove Dec House Prices,
CBI Dec Industrial Order Trends
Eurozone Oct Trade Balance, Nov CPI
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Monday, Dec 17 |
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Empire State/NY Fed Dec
Manufacturing Survey
Canada Oct Int'l Securities Transactions & Nov Existing Home Sales
NAHB Dec Housing Market Index
Brazil CAGED Net Payrolls
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
Treasury Oct TICS (4pm)
OVERNIGHT Into US Tues. a.m. et:
Aussie HIA New Home Sales + Nov Offshore
Hldgs
UK GfK Dec Consumer Confidence
New Zealand ANZ Dec Activity
RBA (Aussie) Minutes of
12/04 Meeting
Swiss SECO Dec Economic Forecasts
Hong Kong Nov Unemployment Rate
German Dec IFO Business
Climate/Expectations
Bk of Finland Gov+ ECB MPC Rehn updates
forecasts for Finnish economy
ECB's Makuch holds news
conference (Bratislava)
Brazil BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
Russia PPI
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Tuesday, Dec 18 |
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US Nov Housing
Starts/Building Permits
Canada Oct Manufacturing Sales
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
FOMC 2-day Meeting starts
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Q3 GDP, Current Account
Balance
Japan Nov Trade Balance, BoJ starts 2-day
Meeting (to 12/20 local time)
German Nov PPI
UK Nov. CPI incl. Owner-Occupied
Housing Costs, RPI, PPI, Oct HPI Index
Eurozone Oct Construction output
BoJ's Kuroda & Bk of France's
de Galhau speak @Europlace Int'l Fin Forum
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Wed.
Dec 19 |
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MBA weekly US Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
US Current Account Imbalance (8:30am)
Russia Nov Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales
Canada Q3 Current Account Balance, Nov CPI
US Nov Existing Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am w/e 12/14)
FOMC Post-Meeting Statement /Rate Decision (2pm)
FOMC Updated SEP (Member Forecasts 2pm)
Jerome Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et
New Zealand Q3 GDP, Nov Trade Balance
Aussie Nov Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation, Credit Card Spending
BoJ MPC Interest Rate & QE
Decision, + Kuroda Presser (12/20 local time)
Italian Nov PPI
Hong Kong Nov CPI
Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meets on Rates (12/20
local time)
Eurozone Oct current Account
UK Nov Retail Sales, CBI Dec Distributive
Trades Survey
Russia GDP
BoE MPC Meets on Rates & QE, Releases
Minutes, Publishes Inflation Report (12/20 local time)
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Thursday, Dec 20 |
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BoE Gov Carney Press
Conference
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada Oct Wholesale Trade
Philly Fed Dec Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et w/e 12/14)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (Value not yet announced)
US Treasury Auctions $14B Reopened 5-year TIPS
Bk of Mexico MPC Meets, Announces Rate Decision (Raised at last meeting)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Friday a.m. et:
So. Korea Nov PPI
New Zealand Q3 GDP & ANZ Dec Consumer
Confidence
China Nov Fixed Net Settlement
Aussie Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
New Zealand Nov Credit Card Spending
Japan Oct All Industry Activity Index, Nov
Machine Tool Orders, CPI
Swiss Nov Trade Balance, Watch Exports
French Q3 GDP, Nov Consumer Spending, PPI, Dec
Business Survey
Spain Trade Balance
Italy Nov Trade Balance
India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth
BoE Quarterly Bulletin
Brazil Nov Current Account & Foreign Direct
Investment
UK Q3 GDP, Total Business
Investment, Nov Retail Sales, Public Sector Net Borrowing, Central Gov't NCR, Public
Finances, Q3 Current Account Balance, Dec GfK Consumer Confidence
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Friday,
Dec 21 |
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Quadruple Witch
Options/Futures Expiration
Canada Q3 GDP, Oct Retail Sales
BoC (Canada) Business Outlook Report (surveys 100 companies)
Durable Goods Orders/Shipments (8:30am)
US Q3 GDP/Business Investment/Consumer Spending/Consumption/PCE
US Q3 Corporate Profits
US Q3 Personal Income/Spending/PCE (10am)
US Nov Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Bk of Canada Business Outlook Survey & Oct Gov't Budget Balance
U.M. Final Dec Consumer Sentiment Survey
K.C. Dec. Fed Manufacturing Index
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Dallas Fed Nov PCE
US Federal Funding Expires at Midnight (2-wk extension from 12/07)
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Saturday, Dec 22 |
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S&P Indices Rebalanced
Based on Yesterday's Close
US Federal Government on Partial Shutdown due to lack of budget
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Sunday,
Dec 23 |
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OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
German Nov Import/Export Prices
Singapore Nov CPI
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Monday, Dec 24 |
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First Equity Trades Since
Indices were Rebalanced on Close 12/21
Partial Shutdown and an Extra Day's Holiday for US Government Workers
Chicago Fed Dec National Activity Index
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills (10am et)
US Treasury Auctions $40B 2-year Notes (11:30am et)
US Equities Close 1pm
US Bonds Close 2pm
Holidays in Japan, Italy, Germany
Early Closes in Hong Kong, Singapore, New Zealand, Australia, Spain, France, UK
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Nov Corporate Service Price
BoJ releases Minutes of 10/30--31
MPC Meeting (12/25 local time)
BoJ Chief Kuroda speaks
@ Mtg of Councillors of Nippon Keidanren (Tokyo)
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Tuesday, Dec 25 |
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Merry Christmas!
Most Worldwide Markets Closed
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Credit Suisse Dec. Swiss Survey of
Expectations
Singapore Nov Industrial Production
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Wed.,
Dec 26 |
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US Markets Reopen but Many Western
Markets Remain Closed
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
S&P Case/Shiller Oct 20-city Home Price Index
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $18B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $41B 5-year Notes
Foreign Markets Remain Closed in: Australia, Canada, France, Hong Kong, Italy, New
Zealand, South Africa, Spain, Switzerland, UK, Germany
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et
German Oct Retail
Sales
China Nov Swift Global Payments &
Industrial Profits
Japan Nov Housing Starts, Construction
Orders, CPI
BoJ Releases Minutes of 12/19--20 MPC
Meeting & Summmary of Opinions
ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
Spain Nov Retail Sales
Hong Kong Nov Trade Balance
Swiss Dec ZEW Survey of Conditions &
Expectations
Russian Central Bank Reserves
Canada CFIB Dec Business Barometer
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Thurs.
Dec 27 |
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US weekly Jobless Claims
Brazil Nov Bank Lending
FHFA Oct House Price Index
US Nov New Home Sales
Conference Board's Dec Consumer Confidence/Expectations
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et values not yet announced)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm)
US weekly Fed Bank Balance Sheet & Money Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri a.m. et:
So Korea Nov Industrial Production, Service
Sector Output, Retail Sales, Jan Manufacturing BSI Index
Japan Nov Jobless Rate, Retail Trade,
Industrial Production, Dec CPI
Australia Nov Housing Credit & Private
Sector Credit
Russia Markit Dec Manufacturing & Services
PMI
China Q3 BoP Current Account Balance
Japan Oct Vehicle Production
UK Dec Nationwide House Price Index, BBA
Nov Loans for House Purchase
German Dec CPI, HICP
Spain Q3 GDP, Current Account, CPI & HICP
Italy Nov Unemployment Rate
Brazil Unemployment Rate & Budget BAlance
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Friday,
Dec 28 |
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US Nov Int'l Trade Deficit
US (adv) Nov Retail Inventories
US (adv) Nov Wholesale Inentories
Chicago PMI
NAR Nov Pending Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30 am et w/e 12/21)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Stats (11am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
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Sat.
Dec 29 |
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Russia Dec Markit Services PMI |
Sun.
Dec 30 |
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Mon.
Dec 31 |
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US Treasury Auctions 3- &
6-month Bills +52-week Bills
US Bond Markets, only, Close Early (2pm et)
US Equity Markets Trade Regular Hours (until 4pm et)
Many Western Markets Closed
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WEEKS AHEAD: Jan. 04, 2019 FOMC Chief
Powell panelist on 'US Fed Reserve: Jt Interview' @AEA
Fed's Bostic panelist AEA/Allied Social Science Ass'n Jt Mtg (Atlanta)
01/05/2019 Fed's Daly & Bostic panelists @ AEA/ASSA Jt
Mtg
01/07 Fed's Bostic
fireside chat @ Rotary Club of Atlanta
01/09 Fed's
Resengren on Eco Outlook @ Boston Economic Club
Fed's Bostic speaks @ Chattanooga Chamber of Commerce 2019 Eco Outlook
FOMC Minutes of the 12/18--19/2018 Meeting Released
BoC (Canada) MPC Interest Rate Announcement & Policy Report
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (Sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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