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October/November 2018 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Oct 21 |
|
FDIC Chief McWilliams
addresses ABA (Am. Bankers Ass'n) Conference
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Sept Convenience Store Sales
RBA's (Aussie) Debelle speaks (Sydney)
Japan Aug All Industry Activity Index
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Eurozone Gov't Debt:GDP
SIBOS Financial Forum
(Sydney Australia thru 25th)
|
| Monday,
Oct 22 |
|
Chicago Fed National
Activity Index (8:30am et)
Canada Aug Wholesale Trade
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills
OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
South Korea Sept PPI
RBA's Ass't Govs Debelle, Boulton, Bullock
panelists (Sydney)
BoJ Core CPI + Japan Sept
Machine Tool Orders
Singapore & Hong Kong both Announce
rspective Sept CPI
Spain Trade Balance
German Sept PPI
UK CBI Oct Orders & Sellling Price Trends,
CBI Oct Business Optimism
|
| Tuesday, Oct 23 |
|
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Fed's Kashkari welcomes guests at "Innovation in Early Childhood
& K-12 Education
Conference" (Fed Reserve Bk of Minneapolis, MN; 9:30am et)
Fed's Kaplan Q&A before the Galveston Economic Development
Partnership 7th Annual Economic Development Summit (Galveston TX)
TMPG Treasury Market Practices Group "At 10: A Look Back and Look Ahead" (NY)
Milken Institute Future of Health Summit (Washington DC thru 24th)
Future Investment Initiative (Riyadh Saudi Arabia thru 25th) the event almost every
Westerner has withdrawn from--even Fox Business, its sponsor
BoE Gov Carney speaks @ U of Toronto Conference on Machine Learning
(Toronto)
Mexican Aug Economic Activity IGAE
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
Eurozone Oct. CPI
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (Values not yet announced- 11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 2-year Notes
Fed's Bostic speaks on "Economic Oulook and Monetary Policy" to
the Cmte of 100 at Louisiana State Uniiv. w/Q&A (1:30pm Baton Rouge LA)
API Releases Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate stockpiles reported Every Tues--We prefer the
EIA version because the latter is mandatory, the former voluntary
Fed's Evans on current conomic condision & monetary policy at N.W.
Univ w/Q&A (6:15pm Evanston IL)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Japan Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
German Sept Import Price Index
Markit Eurozone, France, Germany,
Italy Oct Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
Italian Sept Trade Balance
Swiss Oct ZEW Conditions
& Expectations
Eurozone Private Sector Loams & Sept
M3 Money Supply
BoE's Haldane seminar on
Launch of OECD NAEC (New Approaches to Economic Challenges) Innovation Lab
(Paris France)
UK BBA Sept Loans for House Purchase
|
| Wed.
Oct 24 |
|
MBA weeky Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
FHFA Aug. House Price Index
Markit US Flash Oct (P) Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI (9am)
91st FFA--Future Farmers of America (Indianapolis IN thru 25th)
Mid-Atlantic Municipal Market Conference (Philadelphia PA)
US Sept New Home Sales (10am)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et w/e
10/19)
Fed's Kashkari Q&A @ Minneapolis Fed's 'Early Education Conference'
(9:15am et)
Fed's Bullard on"The US Economy & Monetary Policy" @ Adam
Smith Panmure House Lecture w/Q&A (11:30am Edinburgh Scotland)
BoC (Canada) Interest Rate Decision, Policy
Report, Gov Poloz + Dpty Wilkens Press Conference (Ottawa)
Brazil Sept Federal Tax Revenue & FX Flows
US Treasury Auctions $ 19B 2-year FRN (11:30am)
Forecaster's Club of NY hosts "A Conversation with (Fed's)Loretta
Mester" w/Q&A (12:30pm NY)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 5-year Notes (1pm)
Fed's Bostic participates at LSU Center for Energy Studies Energy Summit (1pm
Louisiana State Univ Baton Rouge LA)
Fed's Beige Book Released (2pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Thrus a.m. et
New Zealand Sept Trade Balance
South Korea Q3 GDP
Japan Sept Corporate Service Price Index
South Africa Budget Balance & Sept PPI
China Sept Swift Global Payments &
FX Net Settlements
EU Commission Updates Economic
Forecasts
Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Rate Decision
German Oct IFO Business Climate/Expectations
& Consumer Nov GfK Outlook
Spain Q3 Unemployment Rate & PPI
Hong Kong Sept Trade Balance
BoJ Dpty Gov Wakatabe keynotes @ Jt Nikkei/Keio
Univ Economics Faculty Symposium (Minato Japan)
French Total Jobseekers
Italian Sept Unemployment
Brazil Central Bank Nat'l Monetary Council
Meets
BoE Dpty Gov for Prudential Regulation
Woods speaks Mansion House City Banquet (London)
Canada CFIB Oct Business Barometer
ECB Oct Interest Rate + QE
Decision (10/25 local time)
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| Thursday, Oct 25 |
|
ECB Pres. Draghi post-ECB
Press Conference
US Sept Durable Goods Orders & Shipments (8:30am)
US Aug Int'l Trade Deficit (ready for a tweet storm?)
US weekly Jobless Claims
US (Adv) Sept Retail & Whoesale Inventories
Brazil Sept Foreign Direct Investment & Sept Current Account
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales (10am)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am)
K.C.Fed Sept Manufacturing Index (11am)
US Treasury Auctions $31B 7-year Notes (1pm)
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet + US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm)
Fed's Mester speaks at NYU's Money Marketeers w/Q&A (5:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan Oct Consumer Price Indices
Singapore Q3 Unemployment Rate, URA
Property Index, Industrial Production
ECB Survey of Professional
Forecasters
Russia Central Bank Oct. Interest Rate
Decision
India FX Reserves, Bank Loan &
Deposit Growth
Norges Bank meeting of Regional Network
addresses by Nicolaisen, Matsen, & Olsen (Sandefjord Norway)
ECB's Coeure speaks
(Paris France, 10/26 local time)
French PPI & Consumer Confidence
ECB Pres Draghi Closing Keynote
@ Conference on "Understanding inflation dynamics: the role of costs,
mark-ups & expectations" (Brussels)
|
| Friday,
Oct 26 |
|
US Q3 (P) GDP/Personal
Consumption/PCE (8:30am)
Univ of Michigan (F) Oct Consumer Sentiment (10am)
Canada Aug Budget Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
German Sept Retail Sales
China Sept Industrial Profits
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| Sat.
Oct 27 |
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| Sunday,
Oct 28 |
|
Brazilian Run-off Election
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
South Korea BSI Manufacturing Index
Japan Sept Retail Sales
Aussie HIA Home Sales
UK Oct Nationwide House Prices
South Africa Sept Private Sector Credit
Italy Sept PPI
BoE Sept Net Consumer Credit,
Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply, CBI Oct. Reported Sales + Total
Distributed Sales
Britsh FinMin Hammond delivers
autumn budget statement
ECB Monetary Policy Conference:
Bridging Science & Practice (Frankfurt DE thru 30th)
Norges Bank Publishes Annual Financial
Stability Report
|
| Monday, Oct 29 |
|
Sept US Personal
Income/Expenditures + PCE
NY Fed Sr V.P. Testa speaks @ LBMA Precious Metals Conference (Boston)
Fed's Evans opens 6th Summit on
Regional Competitiveness, includes insights on facilities belonging to US Steel, Foxconn,
BMW (9:45am Chicago)
Oct Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey, Sept PCE, Texas Services Outlook
Brazil Sept Budget Balance, Debt/GDP Ratio
T-2 EOM for Equity Traders
US Treasury Auctions $45m 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
Fed Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey
Janet Yellen speaks @ FinTech Forum (Montreal, Canda 6:30pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
BoC's Timothy Lane speaks
@ FinTech Forum (Montreal 8:30pm et)
So. Korea Nov Mftng BSI Index,
Industrial Production, Services Output
Japan Sept Jobless Rate,
Jobs/Applicaitons Rate
RBA's (Aussie) Bullock speaks
(Sydney)
Aussie Sept Building Approvals,
Private House Approvals
France Q3 GDP/Business
& Consumer Spending
Spain Sept Retail Sales, CPI &
HICP
Italy Q3 GDP, Oct
Business & Consumer Confidence
German Oct. Unemployment
Rate/Change/Claims & CPI + HICP
South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
Eurozone Q3 GDP,
Oct Business, Industrial, Services Confidence
|
| Tuesday, Oct 30 |
|
Redbook weekly shop sales snapshot
S&P Case/Shiller Aug 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's Oct. Consumer Confidence/Expectations
Brazil Unemployment Rate
Mexico Q3 (P) GDP
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et amounts to be announced)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et morre tariff impacts?)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept Building Permits, Oct
ANZ Activity, Business Confidence
Japan Sept Industrial Production,
Construction Orders
BoJ MPC Decision on Rates &
QE, Outlook, 10-yr Yield Target
BoJ Kuroda post-Meeting Press
Conference (10/31 local)
UK Lloyds Oct Business Barometer,
GfK Consumer Confidence, BRC Shop Price Index
Aussie Q3 CPI, Sept Private Sector Credit
China Oct. Manufacturing,
non-Manufacturing + Composite PMI
Singapore Bank Lending, Business
Expectations
Japan Aug Vehicle Production, Oct
Consumer Confidence, Sept Housing Starts
SNB Q3 2017 Currency Allocation Report
Released + Credit Suisse Oct Survey Expectations
Spain Q3 GDP &
Current Account
Italy Sept Unemployment Rate,
Oct CPI, HICP
Swiss ZEW Expectations
India Sept Federal Fiscal Deficit
Eurozone Sept Unemployment
Report, Oct CPI
Riksbank Gov Ingves visits Banco de
Portugal, discusses road to Basel III
SNB Chair Jordan speech on
"Protectionism makes monetary policy difficult" @ Berne Economic
society of Berne (Berne Suisse)
|
| Wed.,
Oct 31 |
|
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Apps
ADP Oct US Private Sector Employment Report
US Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI, 8:30am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (8:30am et)
Canada Aug GDP, Sept Industrial Product & Raw Materials Price Indexes
Federal Reserve Board of Governors votes on easing Financial Company capital &
liquidity rules, and stress test frequency for very large banks ($250B+ assets)
but well below the assets of the 4--6 largest, like super-regionals COF,
PNC, BBT
So. Africa Sept Trade Balance
Chicago Oct. PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et)
Brazil FX Flows
Halloween
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Oct House Prices, Job Ads
Aussie AiG Oct Performance of
Manufacturing Index, CBA Oct PMI. CoreLogic House Prices, Sept Trade Balance, RBA Oct
Commodity Index
So Korea Oct Trade Balance & CPI
Swiss Oct CPI, SECO Consumer Confidence,
Manufaturing PMI
Japan Oct Manufacturing PMI
Hong Kong Sept Retail Sales
China Oct Caixin Manufacturing
PMI
India Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
BoJ Oct Official FX Reserves, Stock &
Bond Purchases thru 10/26
Ward's US Oct Vehicle Sales
UK Markit Oct
Manufacturing PMI, Oct Nationwide Home Prices
Brazil Sept Industrial Production +
Markit Manufacturing PMI
BoE MPC Decision on Rates &
QE, Inflation Report, Meeting Minutes
South AFrica Oct Total Vehicle Sales
|
| Thurs.
Nov 01 |
|
BoE Gov Carney post-BoE
Meeting Press Conference (London)
Challenger Oct Job-Cuts
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada RBC Oct Manufacturing PMI
US Q3 Productivity & Costs (8:30am et)
US Markit Manufacturing PMI (9:45am et)
US Oct ISM Manufacturing Index/Prices Paid/New Orders/Employment(10am)
US Sept Construction Spending
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
Mexico Markit Oct Manufacturing PMI
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand ANZ Oct Consumer Confidence
Aussie Q3 PPI & Sept Retail Sales
Swiss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index,
Sept Retail Sales
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy,
Germany, Spain Manufacturing PMI
UK Markit/CIPS Oct Manufacturing &
Construction PMI
India FX Reserves
Sweden Central Bank Releases
Minutes of its Monetary Policy Meeeting
|
| Friday,
Nov 02 |
|
US Oct Vehicle Sales
US Oct Employment Report/Change/Participation/Hrly Earnings (8:30am et)
US Sept (P) International Trade Deficit (8:30am et)
Brazil Holiday
Canada Oct Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Part/Full-Time, Trade
Deficit
US Sept Factory Orders
Singapore Oct Manufacturing PMI
US Sept (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
|
| Saturday, Nov 03 |
|
German Sept Retail Sales
China Sept Industrial Profits
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WEEKS AHEAD: 11/06
RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
11/08 RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Meets
11/07--08
FOMC Meets
11/15 Bank of Mexico MPC Meets
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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