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October 2019 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday,
Oct 06 |
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China FX reserves
Fed's George closing 1st day @NABE (Business Economists; 4pm Denver
CO thru 8th)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Sept Performance of Construction
China Sept Caixin Services/Conmposite
PMI
Japan Sept Fx Reserves
German Aug Factory Orders
Eurozone Oct Sentix Investor Confidence
UK Halifax Sept House Price Index
Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine
Announced
Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout
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Monday, Oct 07 |
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Fed's Kashkari fireside
chat about Minneapolis Fed work in Native Am. Country @NAFOA Annual Finance & Tribal
Economies Conference (10:20am Prior Lake MN)
WSJ Global Food Forum (NY)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
Fed Chief Powell remarks before premiere screening of KUED film,
"Marriner Eccles: Father of the Modern Federal Reserve" (1pm et Salt Lake City
UT)
US Aug Consumer Credit (3pm; debt, really)
National Day Golden Week Continues in China & Hong Kong
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
UK BRC Sept Like-for-Like Sales
Japan Aug Labor Cash Earnings,
Household Spending, Trade Balance, Current Account Balance
New Zealand Gov't Full Year Financial
Statements
Aussie NAB Sept Business Confidence/Conditions,
ANZ Sept Job Ads
BoE Gov Carney speaks @Task Force on
Climate-related Financial Disclosure Summit (speech to be released at 5:10 gmt
Tokyo)
China Sept New Yuan Loans, Aggregate Financing
NewZealand REINZ Sept House Sales
Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate
German & Spanish Aug Industrial Production
French Aug Trade Balance
Italian Aug Retail Sales
UK Q2 Labor Productivity
BoE's Cleland speaks @PayExpo
2019 (London 12:10gmt)
Nobel Prize for Physics
Announced
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Tuesday, Oct 08 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
(6am et)
Canada Sept Housing Starts/Aug Building Permits
US Sept PPI--Final Demand (8:30am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
Fed's Schedule of Continuing REPO Offerings through end of October
here
US Treasury Auctions $28B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Evans speaks w/Q&A @Chicago Rotary Club luncheon (1:35pm Chicago IL)
Fed Chief Powell speaks on "Data Dependence in an Evolving Economy" @NABE
Business Economics Annual Meeting (2:30pm et Denver CO)
Fed Chief Powell speaks @NABE (1:50pm et)
Fed's Kashkari speaks @St Cloud State Univ. Town Hall w/Q&A (5pm St. Cloud MN)
Holiday in India--Dasara
Yom Kippur, the Jewish Day of Atonement begins at Sundown
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept ANZ Heavy Truckometer
Japan Machine Tool Orders
Swiss Q3 Real Estate Index of Family Homes
Nobel Prize for Chemistry
Announced
BoE publishes Financial Policy Summary
& Record of the Financial Policy Cmte Meeting (9:30gmt)
Brazil Sept CPI
ECB Governing Council meets for Non-Monetary
Policy session
ECB's Lane panelist @ECB
Conference on Monetary Policy: bridging science & practice (Frankfurt Germany
11:30cet)
Publication of the Consolidated Financial
Quarterly Statement of the Eurosystem
Mexico Sept CPI
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Wed.
Oct 09 |
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MBA Mortgage/Refinance Apps (7am et)
US Aug JOLTS (Job Turnover & Openings; 10am et )
US Aug. Wholesale Trade (Sales/Inventories; 10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et; w/e
10/04)
Fed's Powell opens, then he & K.C. Fed's George co-host roundtable
"Fed Listens: A Community Listening Session" before Community & Biz Leaders
(11am et; K.C., MO)
Brazil Reuters Oct IPSOS-PCS
US Treasury Auctions $24B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed Minutes of 2-day Meeting Sept 18th (2pm et)
Yom Kippur, the Jewish Day of Atonement ends at Sundown (light
trading volume)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
UK RICS Sept House Price Balance
Japan Sept Bank & Trust Lending, Aug
Machine Orders, Sept Domestic Goods Price Index, PPI
Japan Reuters Oct Tankan Index
Aussie Aug Home Loans, Investment
Lending, Owner-Occupied Loan Value
China Sept Foreign Direct Investment
German Aug Trade Balance,
Current Account, Sovereign Debt Rated by S&P
French & Italian Aug Industrial
Production
ECB publishes account of the Sept
11--12/19 Governing Council MPC (13:30cet)
UK Aug Construction
Ouput, Industrial & Manufacturing Production, NIESR GDP, Trade
Balance, Index of Services
South Africa Aug Mining & Gold
Production
BoE Gov Carney speaks at
launch of of new 20 GBP banknote (Margate 10:30gmt)
Nobel Prize in Literature for
2018 & 2019 Announced
OPEC Monthly Report (estimated date)
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Thurs,
Oct 10 |
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Brazil Aug Retail Sales
US Sept CPI (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Sept Chain Store Sales
Canada Aug New Housing Price Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/04)
Bloomberg Future of Investing: Focus on Corporate Governance (D.C.)
Chinese delegation lead by PremierLiu arrives for Trade Talks (D.C. thru
11th)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value not available at post)
Fed's Kashkari fireside chat on Fed Reserve, economy & markets @Yahoo
Finance All Markets Summit (NY 12:15pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $16B reopened 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget (2pm et)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm et)
ECB's Lane speaks @CEPR Research & Policy Network Workshop (Frankfurt
19:30cet)
Fed's Mester fireside chat w/Q&A @John Carroll U. (5:30pm University
Heights, OH)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Singapore Q3 (P) GDP
RBA (Aussie) Financial Stability Review
So. Korea BOK Financial Stability Board Meeting
Minutes
Singapore Aug Retail Sales
New Zealand Sept Businesss & Manufacturing PMI,
Card Spending
Eurozone, French, German Italian, Spanish
Sept CPI & HICP
Nobel Prize for Peace announced
Mexican Aug Industrial Production
India Aug Industrial Production, Manufacturing Output
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Friday, Oct 11 |
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Fed's Kashkari
fireside chat @Council on Foreign Relations w/Q&A (8am et NY)
US Sept Import/Export Prices (8:30am et)
Canada Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Wages/Part-/Full-Time
U.M. (Prelim) Oct. Consumer Sentiment--Current/Expectations (10am et)
Fed Reserve Bk hosts students on
"Exploring Careers in Economics" (10:30am et D.C.)
Russia Aug Trade Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et; w/e 10/04)
Fed's Rosengren speaks @American Economic Challenges Symposium @Univ of
Wisconsin-Madison (1:15pm Madison WI)
Fed's Kaplan speaks w/Q&A @Commonwealth Club of California (3pm et
San Francisco)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
Singapore Q2 GDP
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Saturday, Oct 12
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Brazil Holiday--Our Lady of
Aparecida Day
German Sept Wholesale Price Index
Swiss Q3 Real Estate Index of Family Homes
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Sunday,
Oct 13 |
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OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Singapore Q3 GDP
China Sept Trade Balance, New
Yuan Loans/Aggregate Lending, Money Supply
New Zealand Sept REINZ House Sales, Performance
of Services Index, Migration
India Sept WPI Inflation, Manufacturing
Inflation
Chiina Foreign Direct Investment
Eurozone Aug Industrial Production
Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout,, IBC-Br Aug
Economic Activity
BoE's Cunliffe speaks on Monetary
Policy @Society of Professional Economists Annual Conference (London 13:10gmt)
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Monday, Oct 14 |
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US Columbus Day Holiday--Treasury
Markets Closed
US Equities Trade Regular Schedule
NY Fed 42nd Central Banking Seminar "The
New Normal: Navigating a Low Rate Environment in an Uncertain World" (NY FRB
thru 18th)
Econonic Sciences Memorial Prize awarded in memory of Alfred Nobel
Jt IMF/World Bank GroupAnnual
Fall Meeting (D.C. thru 20th)
Canada & Japan separate holidays
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
RBA (Aussie) Oct Rate Meeting
Minutes Released
BoJ's Kuroda speaks @Branch
Manager Meeting
China Sept CPI + PPI
So Korea Sept Trade Balance
Japan Aug Industrial Production/Capacity
Utilization, Tertiary Industry Activity Index
Swiss Sept Producer& Import Prices
French Sept CPI & HICP
S.L. Fed's Bullard on "The
Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Options" @2019 Monetary & Financial
Policy Conference w/Q&A (London 4:25am et)
UK ILO Aug Unemployment
Rate/Change, Sept Claimant Count/Change/Earnings
Eurozone Oct ZEW Survey
of Current Conditions/Expectations, Reserve Assets
German Oct ZEW Survey of
Current Conditions/Expectations
BoE's Vlieghe speaks on Monetary
Policy @MoneyMacro & Finance Society Monetary & Financial Policy
Conference (London)
UK Treasury Select Cmte hearing on
"BoE Financial Stability Report" (9:30gmt)
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Tuesday Oct 15 |
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NY Fed Oct Empire State
Manufacturing Survey (8:30am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
Fed's Bostic participant in Q&A on community development @Purpose
Built Communities Conference (9am et)
India Trade Balance
BoC Dpty Gov Wilkins speaks (8:30am) & ECB's Lane & RBI's
Patra speak (9:30am) @42nd NY Fed Central Banking Seminar (FRB
NY thru 18th)
IMF presents World Economic Outlook (9am D.C.)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
NY Fed CEO/Pres Williams fireside chat @NY FRB Central Banking
Seminar(12:30pm)
S.F. Fed's Daly @Los Angeles World Affairs Council/Town Hall w/Q&A
(L.A. 2:30pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
12 Democratic 2020 Presidential Hopefuls Debate
on CNN (8pm et)
So Korea Sept Import/Export Price Indices &
Sept Unemployment Rate
So Korea MPC Oct Interest Rate Decision
New Zealand Q3 CPI
Japan Sept Dept Store Sales
EU 25 Sept New Car Registrations
UK Sept CPI, PPI, Vehicle Registrations,
Retail Price Index, Aug House Price Index
Eurozone Sept CPI, HICP, Aug Trade Balance
Italy CPI + HICP
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Wed.,
Oct 16 |
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MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am et)
So. Africa Aug Retail Sales
Canada Sept CPI, Aug TICS
US Sept Retail Sales (8:30am et)
Fed's Evans on current eco conditions & monetary policy w/Q&A
@Greater Peoria Development Council (Peoria IL 9am)
Russia Sept Industrial Production
US Aug Business (wholesale & retailer) Inventories (10am et)
ECB's Lane "A Conversation with ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane" @Brookings
Institution (D.C. 10am et)
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
IIF Institute for International Finance Annual Meeting (10am NY)
Bloomberg Sooner than you Think (Brooklyn NY)
Sohn Foundation Conference (San Francisco)
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index
Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
Fed Gov Brainard speaks @"Future of Money in the Digital Age,"
JT Peterson Institute + Princeton Univ Center for Finance (3pm stream live)
US Aug TICS (4pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
RBA's Debelle speaks (Sydney Australia), RBA
Sept Fx Transactions
Aussie Sept Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation, NAB Qtrly Biz Confidence
Singapore Sept Trade Balance
Tokyo Sept Condo Sales, Convenience Store Sales
Hong Kong Sept Exports/Imports
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
UK Sovereign Debt to be Rated by Fitch
Swiss Sept Trde Balance ncludes Watch Exports
BoE Bank Liabilities/Credit Conditions
Surveys (9:30gmt, 10/17 local time)
UK Sept Retail Sales
Eurozone Aug Construction Output
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Thurs.
Oct 17 |
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Canada ADP Sept Payroll Estimate,
Aug Manufacturing Sales
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Philly Fed Oct Business Outlook Survey
IMF Global Stability press briefing (8:30am et D.C.)
David Malpass, new World Bank Grp leader, keynotes (8:45am D.C.)
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (9:15am et)
ECB's Couere participates in G20 FinMin & Central Bank Governors deputies'
mtg (DC)
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon "A Conversation on Global
Developments" (10am NY FRB)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/11)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (delayed by Mon.
holiday)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
BoE's Breeden (Exec Dir for Int'l Banks Supervision) on "Climate
Change and the Role of Central Banks" @NY FRB Central Banking Series (11am et)
Russia Fx Reserves, Sept Unemployment Rate, PPI, Retail Sales
US Auctions 4- & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value not announced at post)
CNBC debate on the Global Economy @IMF/World Bank Jt Meeting (noon)
US Treasury Auctions $17B 5-year TIPS (1pm et)
Fed's Evans at "Fed Listens: Monetary Policy Impact on Workers and
Their Communities" (2pm) Fed Gov Bowman speaks also (2:10pm
@Chicago IL FRB stream here)
Ray Dalio (Bridgewater) offers "A Macro Investor's View of the Current Global
Environment" @42nd NY FRB Central Banking Series
NY Fed's Williams keynotes @Managed Funds Ass'n Outlook Conference (NY
4:20pm)
Fed Reserve Balance Sheet (soon to grow, again) & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm)
G24 Press Briefing @IMF/World Bank Jt Annual Fall Meeting (5:15pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan Sept CPI, Foreign
Investments in Japan, Sept Trade Balance
China Q3 + YTD GDP,
Fixed Assets, Sept Industrial Production, Property Investment, Retail Sales, Surveyed
Jobless Rate, Nat'l Bureau of Statistics Press Conf.
Hong Kong Sept Unemployment
Rate
RBI (India) MPC Meeting Minutes
UK CBI Oct Business Optimism,
Selling & Order Trends
German Sept WPI
Eurozone Aug Current Account
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Friday,
Oct 18 |
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Canada Teranet/Nta'l Bank Sept Home
Price Index
IMF Asia & Pacific press briefing (9am et) followed by Plenaries, then regional
briefings at 45 minutes intervals (D.C.)
Fed's George & Fed's Kaplan speak @Jt Dallas & K.C. FRBs
Conference on Energy
& the Economy (10am Denver CO)
ECB's Draghi & Couere participate in IMF/World Bank JT Meeting (D.C.)
Chair McWilliams kicks off 9th FDIC Consumer Research Symposium
Fed's Kashkari speaks @Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines Annual
Leadership Summit (Bloomington MN 10:30am)
Fed V. Chair Clarida "US Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy" @CFA
Institute Fixed Income Management Conference 2019 (11:30am Boston MA streamed here )
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm; w/e 10/11)
G20 press conference @IMF/World Bank JT Meeting (1:15pm D.C.)
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Saturday, Oct 19 |
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Mervyn King (former
Gov BoE) delivers Per Jacobsson Lecture "The World Turned Upside Down:
Economic Policy in Turbulent Times" @IMF (D.C.)
ECB's Draghi & Couere partipate at IMF/World Bank Meetings (D.C.)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 10/24 ECB MPC Meets (a
week pre-Brexit)
Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
10/29--30 FOMC 2-day Meeting
10/30 FOMC Rate Decision
BoC (Canada) MPC Rate Decision
10/31 BoJ MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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