wall street in advance

June 2019  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,   June 16 Father's Day
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
       Japan May Dept Store & Condo Sales
       Singapore May Exports
       UK Rightmove Jun House Pricess
       Eurozone Q1 Labor Costs
       ECB Chief Draghi opens ECB Forum on Central Banking--20 years of European Economic & Monetary Union w/Olivier Blanchard, ECB VP de Guindos, Praet, Bk of Ireland's Lane, BoE's Carney, Janet Yellen, Larry Summers, & Draghi 3x more speakers (Sintra Portugal thru 19th)
       UK Inflation Report Hearings
Monday, June 17 Empire State Jun Manufacturing Survey (8:30am et)
NAHB June Housing Market Index
Canada Apr TICS & May Existing Home Sales
AILA Immigration Law Pre-Conference to Annual (Orlando FL thru 18th)
US Treasury Auctions $36B 3-. & $36B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US April TICS 
       OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
       RBA's Kearns speaks
(Canberra), Q1 HPI, RBA Minutes of Jun MPC Meeting
       Singaore Trade Balance
       German May PPI
       China May New Home Prices
       Japan Reuters Jun Tankan Index
       EU 25 May New Car Registrations, CPI, Apr Trade Balance
       German Jun ZEW Economic Sentiment/Expectations
       Eurozone Jun ZEW Economic Sentiment/Expectations Survey

Tuesday, June 18 FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
Canada April Manufacturers Sales
Virginia Votes in Legislative Primaries for ALL 140 Seats in State Legislature
US May Housing Starts/Building Permits
(8:30am et)
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Russia Q1 GDP, Industrial Production, PPI,
API (weekly) Producer Stocks of Petroleum, Gasoline, Distillates
US Treasury Auctions $26B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Q1 BoP Current Account, GDP Ratio
        Japan May Trade Balance, BoJ's Eto speaks (Tokyo)
        Italian April Trade Balance
        South Africa May CPI
        Eurozone Apr Current Account, Construction Output
        UK CBI Jun Orders/Selling Trends, May CPIH, CPI, RPPI, PPI, Apr HPI
        Hong Kong May Unemployment Rate
        ECB's Lautenschlager & Draghi wrap ECB Forum on Central Banking (Sintra)
Wed.       June 19 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am et)
Canada May CPI, Teranet/Nat'l Bank HPI
SNB (Swiss) Quarterly Bulletin 
AILA Immigration Law Annual (Orlando thru 20th)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et; w/e 6/14)
FOMC post-Meeting Statement (2pm et)
FOMC Member SEP (Eco Forecasts) Updated (2pm et)
FOMC Chief  Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
EU-UK Brexit talks began 2 years ago today--so much for that!
Brazil Interet Rate Decision (current 6.5%)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         South Korea May PPI, BOK Financial Stability Report
         New Zealand Q1 GDP
         China May Fx Net Settlement
         RBA Bulletin, RBA Gov Lowe reviews Bulletin, May Fx Transactions,
         Japan Apr All Industry Activity Index, May Machine Tool Orders
         BoJ post-Meeting Statement & Kuroda Press Conference (06/20 local time)
         Norges (Norway) Bank MPC Rate Decision (06/20 local time)
         Swiss May Trade Balance (incl. Watch Exports)
         ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
         UK May Retail Sales
         BoE 2-day MPC post-Meeting Statement/Rate/QE Targets, Minutes

         BoE Chief Carney Press Conference (06/20 local time)
Thurs,     June 20 US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims (8:30am et)
Philly Fed Business Outloook Survey
US Current Account
Canada Apr Manufacturing Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report  (10:30am et)
Russia Fx Reserves, May Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, Monthly GDP
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et;  values not available at post)
Fed Gov Brainard & Fed Pres Mester speak @Cleveland Fed Policy Summit: Connecting People & Places to Opportunities (noon--1:30pm; Cleveland Fed Reserve)
Brazil CAGED Net Payroll Jobs
BoE's Carney & FinMin Hammond Mansion House Speeches @Lord Mayor of London dinner (UK local time)
US Treasury Auctions $15B reopened 5-year TIPS (1pm et)
US Fed Reserve Bank weekly Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        Aussie Manufacturing & Services PMI
        Japan May CPI, Nikkei Jun Manufacturing PMI
        Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Jun Markit Manufacturing/Services+  Composite PMI

        UK May Central Gov't, Public Sector Borrowing
        Hong Kong May CPI
        India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth, Fx Reserves
        Bundesbank/ECB's Weidmann & Boston Fed's Rosegren lead off Bundesbank's 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference, using Japan as case study (Eltville am Rhein DE thru 22nd) 
Friday,    June 21 Markit Flash (Jun) US Manufacturing, Services, Composite PMI
Canada Apr Retail Sales
US May Existing Home Sales (10am et)
Fed Gov Brainard & Fed Pres Mester speak @Cleveland Fed Policy Summit: Connecting People & Places to Opportunities (noon--1:30pm)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et  w/e 6/21)
S.F. Fed's Daly host podcast on Community Economics  (3pm et)
Quadruple Witch Options/Futures Expiration
Fed Reserve's Assets & Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the US (4:15pm et)
FTSE Russell Final Updated Adds/Deletes for Rebalanced Russell Indices (4:15pm et)
Fed Resrve Bk releases US MegaBank Stress Test Results (4:30pm et)
Saturday,June 22
Sunday,   June 23 Fed's Harker participant "Conversation About Health & Wealth" @Aspen Ideas Festival (10am et Aspen CO)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        RBA (aussie) Gov Lowe speaks (Canberra panel)
        New Zealand May Credit Card Spending
        German May Import Price Index, June IFO Current Business/Expectations
        CBR (Russian Central Bk) MPC Minutes
Monday, June 24 Chicago Fed June National Activity Index (8:30a,m et)
Mexican April Economic Activity IGAE
Brazil May Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment
Dallas Fed Jun Manufacturing Survey (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $36B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
Federal Reserve (Education) Institute
(U of San Diego thru 28th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
        New Zealand May Trade Balance
        BoJ Minutes of April 24--25 MPC Meeting, May Corporate Service Prices, CPI
        RBA Ass't Gov Bullock speaks (Berlin)
        Hong Kong Trade Balance
        UK CBI Jun Reported Sales & Total Distributed Reported Sales
        ECB's de Guindos
keynote "Supervision, Risks & Profitability 2019" @ABI Annual Convention (9:15 cet   Rome, Italy)
        Publication of the Consolidated Financial Statement of the Eurosystem
        Canada April House Price Index
Tuesday, June 25 Fed's Williams opens the OPEN Finance Forum by OPEN Finance NYC & Bloomberg (NY  8:45am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am)
S&P Case/Shiller April Home Price Index (9am et)
FHFA April House Price Index
US May New Home Sales
(10am et)
Conference Board's June Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed June Manufacturing Index
ECB's Coeure opens dinner @Int'l Swaps & Derivatives Ass'n (ISDA, 19:15 cet Frankfurt)
Fed's Bostic panelist on "Housing" @Harvard Jt Ctr for Housing Studies' The State of the Nation's Housing 2019" (noon Atlanta Fed)
CFR Conversation with (FOMC Chief) Jerome H. Powell on challengese facing US Economic Outlook & Monetary Policy Review (1pm edt Council on foreign Relations)
US Treasury Auctions $40B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Bullard (dissenter) welcomes Carmen Reinhart to offer Homer Jones Memorial Lecture w/Q&A (6:30pm et  @St Louis Fed)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a,m. et:
         RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Interest Rate Decision + Presser (6/26 locally)
         Singapore May Industrial Production
         German GfK Jul Consumer Confidence
         Swiss Jun ZEW Survey
         UK May Inflation Report Hearings   @Treasury Select Cmte
         ECB's Mersche opens ECB Legal Colloquium "The new challenges raised by investment arbitration for the EU legal order" (11 cet; Frankfurt)
         UK BBA May Loans for House Purchases
         BoE's Saporta & Hauser speak @ Risk.net Liquidity & Funding Risk Europe (London thru 27th)
Wed.,      June 26 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am et)
US May Durable Goods Orders/Shipments +Capital Goods Orders/Shipments (8:30am et)
US May International Trade Deficit
US May (adv) Retail Inventories 
(8:30am et)
US May (adv) Wholesale Inventories
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et  w/e 6/21)
US Treasury Auctions $18B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $41B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        South Korea Jul Manufacturing BSI Index
        Japan BoJ Q1 Money Flows, May Retail Trade
        German May Retail Sales
        China May Swift Global Payments, Industrial Profits

        Italy May Trade Balance, CPI, Services/Business/Industrial Confidence
        BoJ Summary of Opinions from 06/19--20th MPC Meeting (06/27 locally)
        Eurozone Jun Economic/Business/Industrial/Services/Consumer Confidence
        Canada Jun CFIB Business Barometer
        German Jun CPI
        BoE Int'l Seminar on Macroeconomics speakers from BoE, NBER, BIS, CREI, Bundesbank, MIT, Harvard, and much more (London, BoE Conf Centre thru 28th)
Thurs.     June 27 US Q1 (Final) GDP/Business Investment/PCE (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
US Q1 (rev) Corporate Profits
NAR May Pending Home Sales  (10am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30m et  w/e 6/21)
K.C. Fed June Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11am  values not released at post)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm et)
Mexican MPC Sets Overnight Interest Rate
Bk of Jamaica MPC Sets Interest Rates

Federal Reserve Bk releases MEGABank CCAR Results   (4:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         So Korea May Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Service Sector Output
         Japan May Jobless Rate, CPI, Industrial Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, Apr Vehicle Production
         China BoP Q1 Currrent Account Balance
         Aussie May Private Sector Credit, Housing Credit
         Singapore May Bank Lending
         Spanish Q1 GDP, Apr Current Account, May retail Sales
         UK GfK Jun Consumer Confidence, Lloyds Business Barometer, Jun HPI, Q1 Current Account Balance, Business Investment, GDP
         Eurozone, French, Germany, Italy, Spanish Jun CPI, HICP, PPI
         India Q1 Current Account, May Federal Fiscal Deficit, Fx Reserves, Infrastructure Output
         G20 Leaders' Summit (Trump meets with Xi Jinping today or tomorrow; Osaka Japan, thru 29th)
Friday,    June 28 Brazil Unemployment Rate, Q3 Long Term Interest (TJLP) Rate
South Africa May Trade Balance
US May Personal Income & Spending (8:30am et)
Canada Apr GDP, May Industrial (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI)
June Chicago PMI   (8:45am et)
Brazil May budget Balance, Debt/GDP Ratio
U.M. Final June Consumer Sentiment (10am et)
BoC (Canada) Q2 Business Outlook Survey, Outlook for Future Sales, Senior Loan
Officer Survey
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count  (1pm et  w/e 06/21)
FTSE Russell Reconstitutes the Russell Indices on close
S&P Dow Jones Rebalances its Indices on Close
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
        G20 Leaders
Summit Press Conferences to Wrap the Event (6/29 locally, Osaka)
Saturday,June 29 ECB's Mersch panelist @Petersberger Sommerdialog (Bonn Germany 15:00 cet)
China Junr Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
      WEEKS AHEAD: 07/02   RBA
(Aussie) MPC Meets
                                                  Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meets
                                      07/09    FOMC Chair Powell
opens "Stress Testing: A Discussion and Review" (8:45am et)                                                     Fed V Chair Quarles also speaks @'Stress Testing' (2pm et Boston Fed) 
                                     07/10     BoC (Canada) Meets
                                                  FOMC Minutes of June 18--19 meeting (estimated date)
                                     07/25     ECB MPC Meets
                                     07/30     BoJ MPC Meets
                              07/30--31     FOMC 2-day Meeting, followed by Powell Press Conference

*FOMC 2019 Voting Members:  Chairperson Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael Brainard, newly (Sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the curve.  Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres, Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st 2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no longer voters in 2018.
               * HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price