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January/February 2020
Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday,
Jan 26 |
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German Dec Retail Sales
Holidays in India & China
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m .et:
UK Jan Nationwide House Price Index
German Jan IFO Biz Assessment/Expectations, GfK
Consumer Climate
Brazil Dec Current Account, FDI, BCB
Focus Market Readout
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Monday, Jan 27 |
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US Dec New Home Sales
(10am et)
Dallas Fed Jan Manufacturing Activity (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $40B 2- & $41B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
ECB's Mersch keynotes 60th anniversary of Luxembourg Ass'n of private
investors
Holidays in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, South Korea
Fed's Wiliams keynotes NY Fed "Pitch Event for Investment Connection
Program" for Puerto Rico (NY Fed thru
28th)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Corporate Services Price Index
Aussie NAB Dec Business
Survey/Conditions/Outlook
Swiss Dec Trade Balance-Imports/Exports/Watch
Exports (HK protests killing sales)
Spain Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change
UK CBI Jan Reported Sales/Total Distributed
Reported Sales, Mortgage Approvals
Russia Dec Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales
ECB Banking Supervision Press
Conference (11:00 cet, Frankfurt Germany)
ECB's Lane panelist on
"Fiscal Rules in Europe: Design & Enforcement @DG ECFIN Workshop (16:00 cet
-Brussels, Belgium)
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Tuesday, Jan 28 |
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US Dec Durable & Capital
Goods Orders/Shipments
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
S&P/Case Shiller Nov US 20-city Home Price Index
FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
Conference Board's Jan Consumer Confidence/Expectations
Richmond Fed Jan Manufacturing & Services Indices
Dallas Jan Fed Survey
US Treasury Auctions $20 2-year FRNS & $26B 52-week Bills (11:30am
et)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
BoJ Summary of Opinions of Dec
20--21/2019 Mtg, Jan Consumer Confidence
Aussie Q4 CPI
UK BRC Jan Shop Price Index
Spain Dec Retail Sales
Swiss Jan ZEW Climate/Expectations
Eurozone Dec Loans to non-Financial
Corporations
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Wed.
Jan 29 |
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MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications (w/e 01/24/ 7am et)
US Dec (Adv) Trade Balance (8:30am et)
US Dec (P) Wholesale Inventories
US Dec Retail Inventories
NAR Dec Pending Home Sales (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report (10:30am et/
w/e 01/24)
FOMC post-Meeting Statement Released (2pm et)
FOMC Chief Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
China Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
So. Korea Feb Manufacturing BSI Index
New Zealand Dec Trade Balance
UK Lloyds Jan Business Barometer
Aussie Q4 Import/Export Price Index
Moody's Rates German Sovereign Debt
BoJ Dpty Gov Amamiya speaks
German Jan Unemployment Rate/Change
UK Dec Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals,
Dec M4
Eurozone Dec Unemployment Rate/Change, Jan
Business/Consumer Climate
German Q4 Import/Export Price Index, Jan
CPI/HICP
South Africa Dec Private Sector Credit
Hong Kong Dec Trade Balance
Italian Dec Unemployment Rate
ECB's Enria keynotes + panelist on
"Single Rulebook & Single Supervision reaching maturity" @5th SSM & EBF
Boardroom Dialogue (9:00 & 9:30 cet Frankfurt)
Canada Jan CFIB Business Barometer
BoE MPC post-Meeting Rate & Asset
Purchase Target, Minutes (talk of future rate cuts 12:00 cet)
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Thurs,
Jan 30 |
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BoE Gov Carney post-Meeting
Press Conference (his last)
US (Adv) Q4 GDP/Business Investment/PCE (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Federal Reserve Board Open Meeting to review Volcker Rule Changes (9:30am
et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Re;port (w/e 01/24--10:30am et)
BoC's Beaudry speaks (Quebec City)
NY Fed Inaugural "Workshop on Economic Inequality: A Policy Series" (3pm NY Fed)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
So Korea Dec Industrial Production, Service
Sector Output, Retail Sales,
Japan Dec Jobless
Rate/Change/Job-to-Applicant Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Jan Tokyo
CPI
Aussie Dec Private Sector Credit, Housing
Credit, Q4 PPI
China Jan Mnftg/non-Mftf/Composite PMI,
Dec Housing Starts, Construction Orders, Nov Vehicle Production, Retail Sales
Singapore Dec Bank Lending, Q4 Unemplooyment,
Business Expectations
UK GfK Jan Consumer Confidence
French Q4 (P) GDP, CPI, HICP
Spain Q4 GDP, Dec CPI, HICP,
Nov Current Account
Swiss Dec Retail Sales
German Dec Retail Sales
Italian Q4 (P) GDP
Eurozone Q4 (P) GDP, Jan CPI, HICP
OPEC Monthly Crude Oil Production Stats
India Deposit & Loan Growth, Dec Fiscal
Deficit, Annual GDP, Infrastucture Output
Brazil Dec Unemployment Rate, PPI, Budget
Balance
ECB's Panetta, Schnabel & Mersch
participate in ceremony awarding Order of Merit of Federal Republic of Germany to
Mario Draghi (12:00 cet Berlin Germany)
So Africa Dec Trade Balance (incl Gold &
Diamond Export)
BoE Dec Money & Credit Report
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Friday, Jan 31 |
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Canada Nov GDP, Dec
IPPI, RMPI
US Q4 ECI
US Dec Personal Income/Spending/PCE
Chicago Jan PMI
BREXIT (11pm UK time)
U.M. Jan (F) Consumer Sentiment/Inflation Outlook
Canada Nov Budget Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (w/e 01/24; 1pm et)
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Saturday, Feb 01
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India Releases Budget |
Sunday,
Feb 02 |
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NASS--Nat'l Ass'n of Secretaries of
State Meet (D.C.)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Jan Performance of Mnftg
Index, CBA Mnftg PMI. CoreLogic HPI, TD Securities Inflation, ANZ Job Ads, Dec Building
Approvals
So Kore aNikkei Jan Mnftg Index
Japan Nikkei Jan Mnftg PMI
China Dec/YTD Industrial Profits,
Caixin Jan Mnftg PMI
India Nikkei/Markit Mnftg PMI
Japan Jan Vehicle Sales
Aussie RBA Jan Commodity Index
Swiss Jan Mnftg PMI, rocure.ch Jan PMI
Hong Kong Q4 GDP
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Spain,
Markit Jan Mnftg PMI
Singapore Jan Mnftg PMI
So. Africa Jan. Mnftg PMI, Total Vehicle
Sales
Wards US Jan 2020 Vehicle Sales
Brazil Markit Jan Mnftg PMI
UK Markit Jan Mnftg PMI
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Monday, Feb 03 |
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Canada RBC Jan Mnftg PMI
(9:30am et)
US Markit Jan Manufacturing PMI (9:45am et)
US Jan ISM Manufacturing Index/Employment/Prices Paid/New Orders (10am
et)
US Dec Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11am)
ECB Chief Lagarde @New Year's Reception of Deutsche Borse AG (Eschborn DE
19:00 cet)
US Senior Loan Officer Survey (2pm et)
Brazil Jan Trade Balance
Fed's Bostic on Big Data, AI, Machine Learning (4pm et)
Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (evening)
Fed Gov Brainard on Payment Innovation @Symposium on the future of
Payments (Stanford CA 4:10pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et)
New Zealand Dec Building Permits
RBA MPC Announces Feb Target Cash
Interest Rate
French Dec Budget Balance
Spain Unemployment Rate
Hong Kong Dec Retail Sales
Italy CPI/HICP
Eurozone Dec PPI
UK Markit/CIPS Jan Construction PMI
Brazil Dec Industrial Production
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Tuesday Feb 04 |
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US Dec (F) Durable/Capital
Goods
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US Dec Factory Orders
Mexican Jan Mnftg PMI
Pres Trump State of the Union Address to Jt Session of Congress
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Jan House Prices, Q4
Unemployment Rate/Change/Earnings/ Participation/Overtime/Part-/Full-time, ANZ Commodity
Index, GlobalDairy Price Index
Aussie CBA Jan Services/Composite PMI,
AiG Jan Performance of Construction Index
RBA Chart Pack Released
Japan Jibun Bank Jan Services/Composite
PMI
Hong Kong Jan Mnftg PMI
RBA Gov Lowe speaks
(Sydney)
BoJ's Wakatabe speaks
(Ehine)
China Jan Caixin
Services/Composite PMI
India Nikkei Jan Services PMI
Swiss SECO Q1 Consumer Confidence
So Africa Standard Bank Jan PMI
Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany
Markit Jan Services/Composite PMI
ECB's de Guindos opens ECB Conference on
"Marcoprudential stress testing & financial stability" former FOMC
Gov Kohn speaker (Frankfurt; thru 6th; 9:10cet)
UK Jan New Car Registrations
Markit/CIPS Services/Composite PMI, Official Reserves
ECB Eco Bulletin: Breaking the
"chain effect" of tariffs--foregin trade zones in time of protectionism
ECB pre-release Household wealth &
consumption in euro area (10:00 cet)
Eurozone Dec Retail Sales
ECB's Lane discusses "Berliner
Gespach zum Finanplatz Frankfurt (Berlin DE)
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Wed.
Feb 05 |
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MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am; w/e 01/31)
Brazil Markit Jan Services/Composite PMI
US ADP Jan Private-Sector Employment Estimates (8:15am et)
US Dec Trade Balance (8:30am et)
Canada Dec Int'l Merchandise Trade
US Jan Markit non-Manufacturing/Composite PMI
US Jan non-Manufacturing ISM Index
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline.Distillates/Refinery Report (10:30am et; w/e 01/31)
Bk of Canada's Wilkins speaks (Toronto 12:30 pm)
US Senate likely to vote to dismiss the Articles of Impeachment against Trump
Central Bank of Brazil MPC Interet Rate Decision, Fx Flows
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie Q4 NAB Business Confidence, Dec Trade
Balance, Retail Sales
BoJ's Masai speaks (Nara),
Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks/Bonds
China Jan Trade Balance
India Central Bank MPC Intereset Rate
Decision/Reverse REPO Rate
Swiss Q4 Real Estate Bubble Index
German Dec. Factory Orders, Markit Jan
Constrcution PMI
ECB Chief Lagarde opens Qtrly ECON
hearing before EU Parliament (Brussels)
ECB's de Guindos @XXVIth
Santander Iberian Conference (Madrid Spain)
ECB Publishes Economic
Bulletin/Economic Forecasts
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Thurs.
Feb 06 |
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US Challenger Jan Job Cuts
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
US Q4 Non-Farm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am; w/e 01/31)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (value not announced at post)
Fed V.Ch. for Supervision Quarles on Monetary Policy & Eco Outlook
@NYU Money
Marketeers (5:30pm et)
Holiday in New Zealand
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Jan Performance of Service Index
Japan Dec Labor Cash Earnings, Household
Spending
RBNZ (New Zealand) Inflation Expectation
Aussie Jan Foreign Reserves
German Dec Industrial Production, Trade Balance,
Current Account
French Q4 non-Farm Payrolls, Dec Industrial
Production/Trade Balance, Current Account
UK Halifax Jan House Price Index
Italy Dec Retail Sales
Meixco Jan CPI
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Friday,
Feb 07 |
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US Jan Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation/Earnings/Secctor Breakdown
BLS issues Benchmark Revisions to the Unemployment Rates Previously Announced
Canada Jan Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Part-/Full-time
US Dec (F) Wholesale Inventories
Canada Ivey Jan PMI
Fed Submits July 2019 Monetary Policy Report to Senate Cmte on Banking,
Housing, Urban Affairs & to House Cmte on FinServices (11am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et; w/e 01/31)
US Dec Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate (NH on ABC TV [DIS])
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Saturday, Feb 08 |
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WEEKS AHEAD: 02/11
MN Fed's Kashkari Town Hall (Kalispell)
02/17 US Markets Closed for Washington's Birthday--Presidents' Day
02/27 Chicago Fed's Bullard keynotes @GIC Member Event (Mexico City 11:30am
et)
03/04 ECB MPC Meeting + Press Conference
03/17--18 FOMC Meets
03/18--19 BoJ Meets
03/26 BoE MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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